Soccer Livebetting

Live betting is one of the main sources of income for the bookmaker why?

Well before the match starts there is always large publicity about the coming fixtures for Live matches.They are often 2 strong team facing each other and they are most likely to be telecast throughout the world.why? It is because a lot of people likes to bet on sports that they are able to view live especially those recreation punters who gets real kick watching their favourites team play and also big-time soccer punters who bet 30K-50K per match.There is the jalan bet or live betting bet and the half-time bet which make it more interesting and more variety for punters to bet.These live matches are matches where the bookmakers makes lots of money through the vigourish and not forgetting fixed match.

Observations

How to you identify whether the match is fixed?

1.) During the match observe the 1st 10 mins if any team scores, the match it is mostly fixed.They will score at the most unimaginable timing like within 30 seconds or 3 mins are common signs.

2.) Pay attention to the speed of both team players.The team that will lose will tends to run slower than the other team.Another point to note is the team that is fixed to win they will fight with all their might to get to the ball and the one that is fixed to lose {note this also refers to team that gives ball but unable to cover the AH given} will miss even inches infront of the goal post.Sometimes the team that is fixed to lose will even score for the next team that is the own goal or they are extremely disorganised at the defence showing no effort in blocking the strikers attack.

3.)Not all footballers are great actors pay close attention to their body language, they will display great agonies while missing clear cut shots but their eyes are secretly laughing away some even had difficulty in controlling their facial expression ,occasionally they subconsciously look into the camera before diverting their eyes swiftly away.

4.)Coach odds decision to remove key players from the team substituting with a less superior player.consider this why would a coach remove that particular key striker that has just scored the crucial goal and try to defend the 1 goal lead well within the early 50 or 60 mins.

5.) biased refeering decision.legimate goals claimed as off-side, or clear penalty given as no foul are common signs.giving unessary penalty to team that don’t deserve it.

What to do when you know its fixed?

1.) Don’t bet big when its livematches.Try to observe 1st before you bet then bet during the 2nd half as thats where the bookies tricks reveals itself.

2.) you need to master the art of odds decoding before you are capable of betting big.

3.) Don’t fully trust what you see in the 1st half as what is obvious is often a trap.

4.) Do not doubt the odds, the odds posted are often set in a way to trap the average punters ,so try to mold your thinking like a bookie and you will see much clearer.

Soccer Betting – The Footyforecast Method

Soccer Betting is a series of articles that describe some well known and well used statistical techniques that will help the soccer punter make more informed bets. Each of the techniques has its own advantages and disadvantages and using them in isolation will improve your chances of winning. However, together they will prove invaluable in your battle with the bookies. In each article we will describe in detail how a particular method works giving you enough information for you to go ahead and create your own forecasts. We will also give you information as to where you can already find websites that use this technique in comprising their weekly soccer betting forecasts.

The statistical methods described in this set of articles should help you to arrive at a better decision about the match, or matches, that you are betting on.

In this article we will be describing the Footyforecast method. The Footyforecast method was originally developed for the English Football Pools and attempts to eliminate those matches that will not be draws, leaving you with a shorter list of matches from which to choose your 8 from 11. This method was introduced to the world in 1999 on the original Footyforecast website (now 1X2Monster.com). This method is similar to the Simple Sequence method which is described in another of our articles in this series.

Here are the basic rules…

For each team work out the following, 1. Work out the total number of points obtained for the last N games. 2. Work out the maximum number of possible points for the last N games. 3. Divide the total number of points obtained by the maximum available and multiply by 100. 4. Calculate the forecast value. In (1) and (2) above N games could be all the home games for the home side and all the away games for the away side. Alternatively N could be the last N games including all home and away games for a team. The forecast value is calculated like this…

HOMEPOINTS = number of points for home team from last N games

AWAYPOINTS = number of points for away team from last N games

HOMEVAL = (HOMEPOINTS / (POINTSFORWIN * N)) *100

AWAYVAL = (AWAYPOINTS / (POINTSFORWIN * N)) *100

FORECAST = (HOMEVAL + (100 – AWAYVAL)) / 2

To calculate the possible outcome of a match based on the Footyforecast method the value is compared with the following… 1. A forecast value of 50 = a draw. 2. A value between 50 and 100 gives an increasing chance of a home win the closer to 100. 3. A value between 50 and 0 gives an increasing chance of an away win the closer to 0. There are a few variables to consider, for example the number of matches to use and whether to use all matches or just home for home side and just away for away side to name but two. You may wish to experiment with these values. By plotting actual resulting draws against the forecast it is possible to generate two threshold values, one for away wins and one for home wins, any values in-between these thresholds are likely draws. All matches outside these thresholds will be less likely to be draws. For example a value of 40 or less for away wins and a value of 60 or more for home wins. This would mean any matches falling between 41 and 59 may be draws. What this method does, with careful tuning by the user is to eliminate many matches which will not be draws giving you a short list to choose from. This method is best used where an English Pools Plan is to be used.

Here is a worked example…

The values shown are the points gained by the team for each game in a sequence of four recent matches, you of course could choose more games to base your calculations on. West Ham H4 = 3 (oldest match) H3 = 1 H2 = 1 H1 = 0 (most recent match) Leeds Utd A4 = 1 (oldest match) A3 = 3 A2 = 0 A1 = 3 (most recent match) Using only home games for home side and only away games for away side… FFPHome = ((3 + 1 + 1 + 0) / 12) * 100 = 42 FFPAway = ((1 + 3 + 0 + 3) / 12) * 100 = 59 FFPForcast = (42 + (100 – 59)) / 2 = 42 If our threshold values are 40 and 60 then for this match the prediction lies in the expected draw region and at the lower end meaning that if it is not a draw the most likely other outcome would be an away win. This may be interpreted as an X2 prediction, i.e. draw or away win, which some bookies will accept as a bet.

Now it’s your turn…

Of course you may choose to use different values to those shown above and by experimenting you may come up with better values to use. You may also choose to use all home and away games played by each team in your calculations instead of just home games for the home team and away games for the away team. You may choose to have different thresholds than those shown above. You may also find it beneficial to plot actual results against the Footyforecast method predictions to see how many actual draws fall in the away win, draw, and home win prediction zones.

If you have the necessary skills you could go away and build your own spreadsheet of data or even write a piece of software to take in results and fixtures and apply the Footyforecast method to your data. Or, if you’re lazy like me, you could grab some free software that already does this for you. 1X2Monster and Footyforecast have been providing this kind of facility since 1999. A total of seven different statistical methods are used to determine the outcome of each game played in each league, and a comprehensive record of how each method in each game performed is kept. Apart from how each tip performed within its respective league 1X2Monster also provides the league tables of how each league has performed in successfully predicting outcomes of games. The league tables of prediction performance are produced for home win predictions, draw predictions, away win predictions, and for overall predictions and are invaluable tools to the soccer punter when deciding where to target their European soccer betting predictions.

Here is a list of all the articles in this series…

Soccer Betting – How To Make A Profit Soccer Betting – The Rateform Method Soccer Betting – The Footyforecast Method Soccer Betting – The Win Draw Loss Method Soccer Betting – The Simple Sequence Method Soccer Betting – The Score Prediction Method Soccer Betting – The Superiority Method

3 Powerful Tips You Must Know in Live Soccer Betting

When it comes to live soccer betting, there are certain foundational principles you have to acquire. In this entry, I will reveal to you 3 crucial soccer betting tips which will serve you well in the long run. Master the three principles, and you will increase your winning probability exponentially.

1. Know how to read the odds movement. Yes, the live odds movement is a great indicator of what the game’s outcome will be. Betting on soccer successfully requires both the sports and intuitive intelligence in understanding the odds. The majority of sports bettors have no clue what the odds display suggest, that’s why many people tend to lose in soccer betting – they’re handicapped with their insufficient knowledge on reading the odds.

Do note that I mentioned, the “live” odds movement, not pre-game given odds display. Having the trained eye to read the odds and understanding its language is winning half the battle in online soccer betting. If you can’t read the odds, you’re putting yourself at a vulnerable position at the merciless bookies.

2. No guts, no glory. You must have the audacity to bet large if you’d like to profit large. This seems like common sense – but usually, our emotions override our logic in online soccer betting. In fact, the moment where you start losing 2-3 games in a row, most soccer bettors undergo action-paralysis, meaning they fear betting altogether. They’ve lost a significant amount where the confidence inside them is crushed, and they let their account sit at a negative deficit.

3. Indestructible inner game. Your inner game is your control over your mind and emotions. Do not underestimate the importance of this soccer betting tip. You can possess an encyclopedic database of every soccer team’s history in the world, know every soccer player’s discernible traits; know how many cars the star-players have, but if you lack the foundation of a refined inner game for online soccer gambling, you will struggle to profit in the long run.

Betting on soccer successfully will come to those who are well prepared, have the guts, the intelligence in odds-reading, and a well-refined betting strategy. It’s more than just a matter of luck-dependency and knowing the team characteristics.

For more cutting edge tips when it comes to betting on soccer, make sure you check out the 80 Percenter Handbook. Inside, you’ll learn how to read the odds movement, how to play strategically, and how to never again, wire money to the bookies again.

Sports Betting Through Expert Soccer Tips

Soccer is one of those games which are played all over the world. It is the most played games all across the globe and is one of those games about which people are real crazy. Especially in Americas, Europe and Africa the soccer craze is at its peak. In Brazil people do not demand three meals but they demand two meals plus one soccer time. Apart from the fact of people enjoy playing soccer or watching soccer on TV or in the stadium, they also like to earn some monetary benefit from the game.

There can be different ways through which one can use soccer or other sports for their benefit but sports betting is one of the most common activities that is also practice at a very large scale. This is because of the fact that betting is a trick and once people get adapted to it then it is easy money. This is the reason that a large number of people all over the world are associated with soccer betting as it is the most played game all across the continents. There are many bookies all over the world that arrange soccer betting and are very good at giving soccer tips for soccer sports betting.

Today the world is very fast and people have very less time for things even what they think are important to them that is the reason that they try to find platforms where they can find their job done in a very cost effective and result oriented manner consuming as minimum time span as possible. There are many online books available today where people can find soccer experts and sports betting experts to get expert soccer tips that will make their betting a success and bring them a lot of money.

Soccer experts and betting experts are also very important in the process of betting as they give quality expert opinion regarding the sport as well as the betting dynamics. A soccer expert is the person who is very well trained as far as the game is concerned. He looks into the dynamics of sports and has a thorough knowledge of the game, players and the teams as well. He predicts about the performance of the players and teams in given conditions and circumstances of the match. The place where the game is being played as well as the rankings of players and teams also helps in predicting results for betting. Along with this a betting expert also gives quality betting and soccer tips as per his vast experience which he has gained from the game.

One should consult these online betting platforms where they can find quality opinion about their betting needs.

Free Soccer Betting Tips to Make Smarter Bets!

Each one us likes to consistently win while placing soccer bets, this article can help in finding useful tips for wiser bets. Now a days, there is an overwhelming demand of soccer betting picks among the novice as well as experienced gamblers, the betting tips can enhance the gambling skills and make you a smart punter. Some of the benefits of soccer prediction are as follows-

o High winning rate for the bets you placed.

o The gamblers are likely to get an over 350 unit Profit.

o The return of investment is more than 15 percent.

o The picks are sent by the Email and messaging.

o They provide a complete profit guarantee.

Winning soccer tips are based on the number of factors, some of them include statistical analysis and situational trends. Motivational and psychological factors including team news, roster changes, injuries, and suspensions form a major part in placing bets. Generally, the soccer betting tips forms an edge in providing the winning soccer predictions to the players. The expert’s views are profitable, reliable, the best part, they surely profits whether you are a professional punter or a starter.

Betting online has gained a new level of population in recent years and no doubt its success has gaining new heights. For a successful betting, you must have immense knowledgeable about the sport, if you know the team it will be quite easy to take a uniform decision. Soccer is a world-wide famous sport, however placing soccer bets online can become a daunting task if you do not know the facts.

One of the major benefits of betting online is that you do not have to spend a single penny to place bets. Only principal required is the ‘betting’. Let us understand this with an example, if a local team is playing and public backs to it, the bookie reduces the score of the opponent. This makes sense, then, to wage for underdog as the odds of winning are going to work for your benefits. Perhaps, you should also understand each bet will not turn out a profitable affair, think before betting your hard earned money.

Once you visit any soccer betting site, check out the rule and regulations, website that delivers tips along with betting is the best option to go for. These websites are fully equipped with all the details and tips to get success in betting.