Tennis is one of the most widely wagered on sports in the world. The number of people betting on tennis may not be that large when compared to certain sports, but the volume of wagers accepted by bookmakers in the tennis markets is massive.
Every week there are generally 2-3 ATP/WTA tennis tournaments although some weeks there are even more tourneys to wager on. The smaller tournaments have the best value in the betting markets and ideally you should spend more time handicapping them.
Betting on the major Grand Slam tournaments in tennis is something everyone does and the bookies spend months making sure their lines are sharp. With smaller tournaments the bookies release odds that can be exploited, but you have to be fast.
In tennis there are tons of large volume traders and arbers that the average bettor has to worry about. In order to bet into a line that has value you need to be very fast. I’m now going to share some tips for handicapping tennis matches that you should utilize.
Methods for Handicapping Tennis Matches
The majority of tennis bettors will look at basic stats such as H2H, especially now that these stats are available online for free on numerous websites. H2H stats are important to look at, but you should know that a tennis player with a great H2H record against their opponent will have that priced into their odds.
Often tennis players will be overvalued in the betting markets when they have a great record against their opponent. This doesn’t mean you should avoid betting on the player with the great H2H stats, but you should make sure you look at the match closer.
One of the best tips I can give you is to understand the different court surfaces when you’re betting on tennis. A player that excels on the grass courts may struggle a lot when they play on clay courts. It isn’t rare to see high ranked players lose to tennis players that are unknown to the casual spectator.
Recent form isn’t something that I look at too closely with the higher ranked players, as they can be terrible one week and win the next week. I look at recent form to see if there has been a trending pattern of poor play, but don’t let one or two bad matches sway your decision too much on a bet.
You always should watch how a player is looking mentally on the court as well. Tennis is a mental sport as well as physical. Tennis players can get into slumps when they lose confidence and you should never bet on a player struggling with his mental game because the player is too unpredictable.
Finally, you want to analyze the odds closely in tennis. Dozens of reputable bookies post odds on tennis matches every week. You should always make sure you bet into the best odds possible. You should also know whether the odds are “steaming” or “drifting”. You shouldn’t bet into odds when they’re drifting, as you can wait until you can get a better price on the tennis player that you want to wager on.